When is something HOT?

Reply #7

Thoth — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 23:38:06 GMT

I'd have to agree that 2 or more times is hot , though 3 times is probably more like it. In my opinion, statistically expecting a number to hit once within a number of games that is equal to its odds is a statistical fallacy. Sure, it may hit about once for every 10, 100, or 1000 games over the long term (once for every increment of games equal to its odds), but expecting it to hit once within any particular span is usually based on a bad understanding of probability and/or statistics.... [ More ]

Reply #6

MADDOG10 — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 13:14:28 GMT

My choice is, anytime a number hits twice I would consider it hot....

Reply #5

Todd — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 13:02:49 GMT

Reply #4

Rick G — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 12:59:37 GMT

In a pick-3 game condidering digits by position drawn in the last ten games, a digit becomes hot when has been drawn two times. That's my vote.

Reply #3

guesser — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 08:55:37 GMT

Here is the problem:

In Powerball, I can give you 12-15 'hot' numbers, and I can give you 7 icy-cold numbers.

That said, which 'hot' number do you play ?

Do you avoid icy-cold numbers ?

Even if you did get lucky enough to bag one or two 'hot' numbers, you still have three others to hit, plus the PB.

And not all hot numbers hit at the same time.

Yes, I know you specified Pick-3, same rules apply, though.

Reply #2

JimmySand9 — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 07:26:33 GMT

Confucius said : As soon as you think a number is hot, it will go cold.

Reply #1

Coin Toss — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 06:13:55 GMT

I'm not sure what would make a number a 'hot' number, maybe one that is hitting more than the chances you posted above, or at least twice more than.

But I know this kind of stuff gets people in trouble:

A digit has a 1 in 10 chance of hitting in a specific position. So in 10 games you could statistically expect it to hit one time.

Statistically, sure. But it may not hit for 100 games and then hit 11 times in the next 11 games, so the statistics have proven out but the system pl... [ More ]

When is something HOT?

Thoth — Sun, 10 Jun 2007 04:14:46 GMT

In Pick 3... I'm talking lottery, not hitting on hot girls at the bar lol.

A digit has a 1 in 10 chance of hitting in a specific position. So in 10 games you could statistically expect it to hit one time.

Also, a front pair has a 1 in 100 chance of hitting...so in 100 games you may only expect it to hit once as well.

In 1,000 games, you may statistically expect a Pick 3 straight to hit once because its odds are 1 in 1,000.

So the question is...if something that hits one time within... [ More ]