Mega Million Mega Ball Analysis?

Reply #4

badboy00z — Fri, 07 May 2010 22:39:41 GMT

Which software are you using? I'm using Expert Lotto and the winning numbers file doesn't seem to be correct.

Reply #3

RJOh — Fri, 07 May 2010 16:59:05 GMT

If you maintain a file of the last 508 drawings since the last matrix change then you can view the data many different ways. Not only can you look at the most popular bonus numbers but their most popular repeat patterns. This is particularly helpful when reducing the bonus number pool to 10-20 from 46. I've done this and my odds of hitting the bonus numbers have been significantly better than 1:46.

Reply #2

badboy00z — Fri, 07 May 2010 08:52:10 GMT

I didn't have a bell curve in mind but rather just a simple bar graph. The X axis will be the dates (with the first one being the first drawing) and the Y axis will be from 1 to 46. By putting that data into something we can see, it would be easier to notice a pattern. That is if there is a pattern. The sample size might be too small and we might not see a pattern because the 1st sequence isn't finished but who knows.

Reply #1

KY Floyd — Fri, 07 May 2010 07:57:27 GMT

You can find the raw data here: http://www.usamega.com/mega-millions-stats.asp

If you start by putting the most frequently drawn ball in the center and then alternate right and left as you continue down the list you'll get a pretty decent bell curve.

You could also plot it as how many numbers were drawn once, twice, three times, and so on. That would also give you a pretty decent bell curve.

That's what you would expect, assuming the results are random.

Mega Million Mega Ball Analysis?

badboy00z — Fri, 07 May 2010 06:04:49 GMT

Has anyone ever plotted the mega ball history into a simple bar graph in an attempt to see a pattern? I personally don't believe there is a pattern to a random event such as balls dropping into the chute but I would like to see what the graph would looks like.