What state will win the powerball jackpot?

Reply #90

pickone4me — Sun, 28 Sep 2014 17:12:54 GMT

Yet, you can't read in between the lines of what he meant. You don't want to discuss, you want to take things that are said out of context. Why is someone like me able to be able to figure that out

Reply #89

rcbbuckeye — Sun, 28 Sep 2014 16:49:53 GMT

jj is ignoring the fact that CA has their own state lottery.

Reply #88

psykomo — Sun, 28 Sep 2014 14:51:50 GMT

????????????????

have WE WON yet

Reply #87

noise-gate — Sat, 27 Sep 2014 16:12:21 GMT

We do have our Own State Lottery . As for kicking California out of MUSL because it's too as you put it overpopulated is funny- tried looking at the population of Wyoming whose joined the MUSL?

With that thinking, I can see why you looking forward to Expendables 4

Reply #86

pickone4me — Fri, 26 Sep 2014 01:40:55 GMT

I liked it the other way.

Reply #85

jjtheprince — Fri, 26 Sep 2014 00:47:21 GMT

California should be banned from all MUSL games because it is too overpopulated.

Like I said, they can have their own state lottery where thousands of players win each drawing and split the change.

Reply #84

Marilyn222 — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 23:59:16 GMT

I take that back...they can all go to heaven for all I care...lol

Reply #83

Coin Toss — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 23:30:49 GMT

Well that was a WHAMMY

Reply #82

pickone4me — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 23:19:56 GMT

It sure appears to be fact at this point.

Reply #81

Toronto — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 21:03:45 GMT

You should take a 5 year sample of their Mega, not just year-by-year. It's been ridiculous! Which makes the .92% all the more supported

Reply #80

LottoMetro — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 20:24:28 GMT

2nd correction, the probability of them having at least 4 winners is 0.92% or odds of 1 in 109. Not that anyone cares

I'm sure this may trigger the conspiracy theorists in full storm, but you can't focus on the short term. Some states will win more, some less, but over time their win rates will match up with their sales. Just because a state exceeds their expected win rate doesn't mean the game is rigged. The lottery's balls do this all the time, hot and cold but over the long term will align... [ More ]

Reply #79

LottoMetro — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 19:53:44 GMT

Correction, California has only won 4 Powerball drawings this year, and there have been 77 draws (what I get for not checking myself)

Can't include Mega Millions with those because it's entirely separate

Still pretty certain that their win rate falls in line with their sales. If I get time I will do the calculations

Edit:

Big surprise here.

Assuming my data source is correct, California has sold about 140.5 million tickets for Powerball this year. That means we can expect close t... [ More ]

Reply #78

LottoMetro — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 19:25:01 GMT

I never provided a denominator or even any formula for doing this, therefore I cannot be incorrect.

The probability of California having a winner(s) is easily approximated using 1-exp(-t/N), where t represents the tickets sold and N represents the combinations. If California sold 5,000,000 tickets every drawing for 10 drawings, their probability of having a winner(s) in any of those drawings would be about 25%.

Formula/Proof using Poisson Distribution:

P(k) = (exp(- )* ^k)/(k!) where

Reply #77

Toronto — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:42:52 GMT

In that case, you need to do California's fraction of tickets sold over the overall odds of winning based on number of tickets sold t. Your denominator is incorrect.

If it's a single drawing it would be: California's share of tickets sold * tickets sold for N in the equation Prob = COMBIN(N,K) x (Pwin^K) x (Pnotwin^(N-K))

Where K is the number of tickets winning.

Reply #76

PrinceRene — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:42:08 GMT

you are not a conspiracy theorist but you are sticking up for that 44% figure Goteki54 brought up.

My point is the same as it always has been, California is not winning a disproportionate amount of jackpots based on the number of tickets bought in the state.

If you want to refute my point, then I would like to see your evidence.

Reply #75

LottoMetro — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:32:54 GMT

It's actually fallacious not to include the losing drawings; here's why:

Say California buys 1 billion tickets (extreme example) over the course of several losing drawings. Every other states only buys a few millions.

Then the jackpot gets hit, and California is the winner. But in this draw they only bought about as many tickets as the other states.

Would it then be accurate for you to say that California wins disproportionately more often?

At first thought, you could say, Every draw... [ More ]

Reply #74

Scratch$ — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:31:47 GMT

I'm not a conspiracy theorist, but you're still making an invalid comparison.

CA has won 4 of the 9 jackpot-winning draws this year. You trying to throw all the losing draws into the mix is a MAJOR FAIL. You're making an apples to oranges comparison.

Reply #73

PrinceRene — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:28:49 GMT

the jackpot was won at $225 million. There were 13 drawings until the jackpot was won by a Californian. Are you trying to say the other 12 drawings didn't matter at all because no one won them? Didn't the other states have a chance at winning the other 12 drawings? I'm including the other drawings because any state could have won them. Why only take the drawings that had winners into account and exclude the rest

Reply #72

Toronto — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:22:32 GMT

Your denominator is wrong

Reply #71

PrinceRene — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:20:08 GMT

so 8.3% instead of 12% then. That just proves my point even more. It's actually 4 CA winners this year and not 6.

http://www.powerball.com/powerball/pb_stories.asp

So CA won 4 drawings out of a possible 72. That's 5.5%.

The conspiracy theories are getting out of hand. California does not win a disproportionate amount of jackpots based on the number of tickets bought by Californians. Why do I even care? We all know what will come of this, conspiracy theorists will boycott Powerball unti... [ More ]

Reply #70

Toronto — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:13:03 GMT

This.

Reply #69

Scratch$ — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:11:49 GMT

Goteki's figure refers only to JACKPOT-WINNING DRAWS, you're including all LOSING draws where there was no winner in your figure.

So you're comparing apples to oranges.

Reply #68

Toronto — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 18:06:13 GMT

Your denominator is not what you should be using.

Furthermore, CA only provides 11% at late stages (highest jackpots). In the early build up they only provide 7% of sales. Most of the run is usually 10

Reply #67

PrinceRene — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 17:18:28 GMT

why is 44% bolded and underlined? What is the significance of that number?

Powerball drawings are on every Wednesdays and Saturdays. So that's about 8 Powerball drawings a month. There have been about 72 drawings this year. Of those 72 drawings, 6 of them have been won by Californians which is roughly 12% out of the possible drawings. 12% is about how much CA buys in PB tickets. I don't see why the conspiracy nuts are coming out of the woodwork.

Reply #66

Goteki54 — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 15:08:28 GMT

Including last nights win. There has been 9 Powerball winners so far in 2014, with four of them coming from California. So 44% of all the wins for PB this year has come from California. However, there was only one winner from California in 2013. I guess 2014 just so happens to be the year of California.

Reply #65

Romancandle — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 15:05:13 GMT

Welcome to the NEW California Powerball Game where most other states all have excellent odds in assisting California residents in winning new jackpots!

Buy early, buy now and you too can be a part of this exciting event

Reply #64

RJOh — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 15:04:29 GMT

With a $225 jackpot PowerBall was approaching the point where I was willing to spend $2 on its tickets. If Californians were willing to spend $2 on tickets for lower jackpots than folks in other states then one of them deserve to win. None of my money went toward that jackpot.

Reply #63

bigbear29 — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 14:56:27 GMT

You live in Denver and you are glad that California won

Reply #62

haymaker — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 14:46:43 GMT

Nice Hat ! LOL

Reply #61

haymaker — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 14:44:55 GMT

Souf Jerzee, LOL

Whats that ?

You say that's not a state, well we think it is !

No matter the JPs back to the starting line so I won't be playing for a while.

Reply #60

bigbear29 — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 14:43:55 GMT

Like I said before, it's the same places that win and only one winning ticket. It sucks! Why play if you live in non winning states.

Reply #59

pickone4me — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 14:25:11 GMT

The 27 people that voted for some other state, what are your feelings now towards powerball? Didn't california win powerball last time it got up there

Reply #58

jjtheprince — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 14:13:51 GMT

It's a sad day when New York or Florida CAN'T win. Lol

Reply #57

rcbbuckeye — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 12:19:56 GMT

Yeah.

I just had to laugh when I saw someone in CA won.

Let the conspiracies ROLL

Reply #56

helpmewin — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 11:28:26 GMT

Congratulations to the Winners hope they Spend it Wisely

Reply #55

Marilyn222 — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 10:28:02 GMT

They can all go to h**l for all I care

Reply #54

hearsetrax — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 10:18:11 GMT

heres to hoping a sink hole swallows thar new home with them in it

Reply #53

Marilyn222 — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 09:31:11 GMT

I'm glad California won

Reply #52

PrinceRene — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 06:47:07 GMT

Reply #51

Scratch$ — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 05:53:33 GMT

Yet another Powerball winner from California! Oh joy! NOT!

Bah, humbug

Reply #50

Nikkicute — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 05:36:23 GMT

lol Oh no

Powerball Jackpot Winner! There was one $225 million jackpot winner from California in the Wednesday, September 24, 2014 Powerball drawing. More details to follow after the winner comes forward to claim their prize. Also, 10 lucky players matched the first 5 numbers for a $1,000,000 prize: 1 from California, 1 from Georgia, 1 from Illinois, 1 from Kentucky, 2 from New York (1 with Power Play), 1 from Ohio, 1 from Oregon, 1 from Pennsylvania, and 1 from Tennessee.

Reply #49

RedStang — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 04:54:03 GMT

Lot's of people thought including myself that Cali would help the jackpot grow but it backfired. Those numbers didn't help either.

Reply #48

ThatScaryChick — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 04:53:40 GMT

Oh oh some people are going to be mad.

Reply #47

Toronto — Thu, 25 Sep 2014 04:03:35 GMT

California won again. San Mateo

Reply #46

dallascowboyfan — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 22:13:49 GMT

Oklahoma baby

Reply #45

Win$500Quick — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 13:09:14 GMT

Florida

Reply #44

PrinceRene — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 12:46:56 GMT

that's because Cali just got Powerball last year. It seems like Cali is trying to make up for lost time.

Reply #43

helpmewin — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 12:25:21 GMT

The TV commercial Says Indiana has more Powerball Jackpot Winners than any other state.

Reply #42

helpmewin — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 12:16:46 GMT

Why you need all that money

Reply #41

helpmewin — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 12:13:48 GMT

Maybe you forget they usually are BIG for some reason they are NOT growing much before they HIT Lately

Reply #40

winoneday — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 04:16:35 GMT

Montana

Reply #39

lakerben — Wed, 24 Sep 2014 04:16:23 GMT

New Mexico.

Reply #38

Stuffy — Tue, 23 Sep 2014 22:54:45 GMT

I don't live there but I think it will be California. Wish I could at least win $4 but I am always a loser. Although it is a good feeling when I can afford to buy a ticket and have a little hope and daydream what I would do winning a jackpot.

Reply #37

maringoman — Tue, 23 Sep 2014 21:34:36 GMT

I doubt I will even match the powerball number. Powerball is a cash cow and MUSL would be dumb to change it.

Reply #36

Skibunnylk — Tue, 23 Sep 2014 18:23:12 GMT

That would be an insane prize amount. There would be mad hysteria in the drawings leading up to it.

It would be nice to see that but I don't think it will happen.

Reply #35

Scratch$ — Tue, 23 Sep 2014 17:53:32 GMT

I'm still here

Reply #34

helpmewin — Mon, 22 Sep 2014 20:33:39 GMT

Let it Roll Powerball $225 Million

Reply #33

One-Day — Mon, 22 Sep 2014 18:07:27 GMT

Washington and that would be me; when it hits take-home amount of $100 million.

Reply #32

aux8b — Sun, 21 Sep 2014 00:06:41 GMT

KENTUCKY

Reply #31

Drenick1 — Sat, 20 Sep 2014 14:17:01 GMT

Me too. Hopes it's a state not listed.

Reply #30

pickone4me — Sat, 20 Sep 2014 13:09:53 GMT

I am surprised no winner on the past drawing, maybe there will be a winner(s) tonight.

Reply #29

Bran77 — Sat, 20 Sep 2014 05:35:31 GMT

Washington

Reply #28

Rman313 — Sat, 20 Sep 2014 05:24:22 GMT

A....B.....C!! Michigan, Detroit area.

Reply #27

Marilyn222 — Sat, 20 Sep 2014 04:44:36 GMT

I wish Colorado wins the JP...

Reply #26

ThatScaryChick — Sat, 20 Sep 2014 03:16:27 GMT

I wonder why Scratch$ was banned

Reply #25

noise-gate — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 19:04:27 GMT

l feel your pain...but you forgetting that California contributes mightily towards either jackpot, So what you saying * Technically is- Yeah California, hey suckers, keep pouring your Dollars in but we WANT someone else to win.l hope a Californian does win ..preferably me.

Dream on.

Reply #24

Romancandle — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 18:33:47 GMT

Sorry Cali but it's time for another state of confusion

Reply #23

Saylorgirl — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 14:46:40 GMT

Well, that would be one Merry Christmas

Reply #22

pickone4me — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 13:44:23 GMT

Reply #21

helpmewin — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 13:33:53 GMT

Let it Roll for 28 more Draws Dec 24th Christmas Eve

Reply #20

CDanaT — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 10:34:41 GMT

Oh what ta heck,,,,,,, l haven't heard of a winner from this state.......... MAINE

Reply #19

CDanaT — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 10:28:39 GMT

Rcb...I hear ya on the Texas choice...if not your pool.......well, then I am praying it's mine... Best of luck on our next set of numbers

Reply #18

Scratch$ — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 06:07:32 GMT

ABC - Anywhere But California

Reply #17

Toronto — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 04:16:48 GMT

Yea, I'd leave that company if I were you

Reply #16

lejardin — Thu, 18 Sep 2014 01:03:28 GMT

Holy cow, what is going on ? I too, hope it is your group that wins. With the odds of all the diagnoses, you all should be lucky enough to beat the odds to win. Good luck to all and my prayers are with those afflicted with the dreaded disease. May God Bless You All.

Reply #15

rcbbuckeye — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 23:51:22 GMT

I hope it's Texas, and I especially hope it's our little work pool. We have a couple ladies in our group that just got diagnosed with breast cancer, and their med bills are gonna skyrocket. And 2 other people in our store were just diagnosed with cancer. One breast cancer, the other brain cancer. All in the span of a month. We're all wondering what the heck is going on.

Reply #14

Coin Toss — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 23:33:40 GMT

Multiple winners, at least two states.

Don't know what states though.

Reply #13

haymaker — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 22:42:08 GMT

Yea !

I was thinking next time I'm down Delaware I'll buy multi draw tix.

Thats mid atlantic and anonymous.

Reply #12

weshar75 — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 22:28:05 GMT

Oregon all the way baby! I need a new pair of shoes!-weshar75

Reply #11

DetroitLionBoy — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 20:49:42 GMT

come on man its gotta be new york

Reply #10

marcie — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 19:18:44 GMT

Florida or Ohio

Reply #9

Astekblue — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 19:17:25 GMT

Indiana

Being as I was up here for a couple days , I bought 5 regular tickets

Reply #8

ThatScaryChick — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 19:16:16 GMT

Idaho, Montana or Wyoming.

Reply #7

sully16 — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 19:15:05 GMT

Okay North Carolina, only if it's my brother.

Reply #6

hearsetrax — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 18:34:32 GMT

any state in the mid atlantic or an anonymous state

Reply #5

sully16 — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 18:14:59 GMT

Michigan

Reply #4

Shelby Mustang — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 18:12:30 GMT

Alas I too wish it would be NC but since i havent bought a ticket yet it wouldnt be me who won LOL

Reply #3

atoz — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 18:08:26 GMT

Missouri....there is no doubt about it....

Reply #2

Scratch$ — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 18:04:59 GMT

Go North Carolina! Woot

Reply #1

bigbear29 — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 17:11:25 GMT

I hope some other state other than: California, New York, Florida, Ohio, Texas, New Jersey, Virginia and Pennsylvania.

What state will win the powerball jackpot?

pickone4me — Wed, 17 Sep 2014 16:56:25 GMT

Since the Power ball cash jackpot is at 102 million, I believe there will be a winner soon, who wants to guess what state will win