Anyone ever hear of the "Simpson Effect"?

Reply #10

casino crawler — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 22:16:37 GMT

You are right about everything...except I am a female. I find most of the real keno addicts around here are the women.... That itself maybe counterinuitive since women are supposedly less math oriented. When I got my degree (back when) I was one of only two women in the program.

Some of the tribal casinos around here are parainoid too. Two old women changed seats after a major win (truth is the winner had to go to the bathroom after hitting) and the friend sat there waiting for them to key th... [ More ]

Reply #9

str8ca$hhomie — Thu, 16 Apr 2015 12:34:42 GMT

Good Morning Raven 62,

Just a thought off the top of my head, and by the way you explained this very well, but do you think that it could be possible that Gail Howard was aware of this phenomena when she coined the term Reverse Cascade which just happens to be one of the functions to be considered in the Drawings Between Hits Chart #4 in the Advantage Plus Program

Reply #8

eddessaknight — Tue, 14 Apr 2015 22:54:40 GMT

Hi guy.

First a remedial Congratulations on beating incredible odds of over 9 million to 1, not easy to do with straight math unless there is a super computer?

I like the Cali 5 also, I really love any 5 that comes out of a single source (like keno) vs different machines mix

Relative to maintaining I offer a few humble precepts:

My activity @ gambling ground zero for the last 24 years includes (pro bono publico) assisting some good guys gals (advantage players) to contend with casino... [ More ]

Reply #7

casino crawler — Mon, 13 Apr 2015 22:21:01 GMT

I raised it since I was discussing casino keno in another forum. Based on the pure mathematics, me and the person who taught me to play are beating incredible odds (over 9 million to 1) to win the progressive jackpots that we have. So I was trying to look beyond the pure math...and see if there was any explanation.

I know ...I know...you can't believe much about what you hear in a casino....

Reply #6

casino crawler — Mon, 13 Apr 2015 22:13:41 GMT

It disappeared??/ That is its own paradox. Actually I saw your name and came over here. I am now going to quote people's text and ask for an email notification so I can find these. Still learning the lottery post ropes. I will do my homework on yours...thanks for the response! I see there are a lot of math geek types (my second major undergrad)...maybe thats why I like Keno and the lottery (well I like the Fantasy Five...in Cal...better odds

Reply #5

eddessaknight — Mon, 13 Apr 2015 19:42:47 GMT

Hello again casino crawler (Bey Effendi ?) et al,

I am rewriting on your thought provocative topic as my (another) original post has mysteriously deleted without notice,

So I am going to take it from the top, this time with music

I put before you, for serious consideration, another cause and effect theory that may have more practical application....

Heisenberg Effect

Werner Heisenberg was a German theoretical physicist was a quantim forerunner saying that an evnt did not exist un... [ More ]

Reply #4

Original Bey — Sat, 11 Apr 2015 03:21:42 GMT

Thank you! Lol.

Reply #3

LottoMetro — Sat, 11 Apr 2015 03:19:15 GMT

In plain English, if the national median wage has increased but median wages in every educational subgroup (H.S. dropouts, Bachelor's degree recipients, etc.) has decreased, then you have a Simpson's paradox. The rub for this case lies in the proportion of the educational subgroup making higher/lower median wages.

Usefulness to the lottery: none that I know of

Good for practical examples of counterintuitive statistics though

Reply #2

Raven62 — Sat, 11 Apr 2015 01:07:09 GMT

Simpson's paradox refers to a phenomena where by the association between a pair of variables (X,Y) reverses sign upon conditioning of a third variable, Z ,regardless of the value taken by Z. If we partition the data into subpopulations, each representing a specific value of the third variable, the phenomena appears as a sign reversal between the associations measured in the disaggregated subpopulations relative to the aggregated data, which describes the population as a whole.

Reply #1

Coin Toss — Sat, 11 Apr 2015 00:38:32 GMT

Simpson's paradox

From Wikipedia, the free encyclopedia

Simpson's paradox for continuous data: a positive trend appears for two separate groups (blue and red), a negative trend (black, dashed) appears when the data are combined.

Simpson's paradox, or the Yule Simpson effect, is a paradox in probability and statistics, in which a trend that appears in different groups of data disappears or reverses when these groups are combined. It is sometimes given the impersonal title reversal... [ More ]

Anyone ever hear of the "Simpson Effect"?

casino crawler — Fri, 10 Apr 2015 19:40:16 GMT

I heard this idea years ago from some crusty gambler to the effect that a person's can actual effect the result of a seemingly random endeavor (like playing lotto or the slotI never could find anything on it, but I did see the Simpson paradox and the Simpson-Yule studies that talk about statistics and improbable results...now I am paraphrasing greatly. I am wondering if the Simpson Effect is just a sort of urban lore amongst players? Any input would be appreciated.