Maddog's 2016 MM & PB Challenge Analysis

Reply #40

Rman313 — Fri, 03 Jun 2016 14:27:27 GMT

lGreat analogy Jade! I agree

Reply #39

JADELottery — Fri, 03 Jun 2016 01:52:32 GMT

Your strategy appears to be one of, stand in the storm and let the lightening hit you.

Whereas some others use the strategy of, run in the storm to where the lightening might hit.

Good show.

Reply #38

Rman313 — Fri, 03 Jun 2016 01:02:46 GMT

Wow Jade!! You did a lot research on my selections

Reply #37

JADELottery — Thu, 02 Jun 2016 16:57:14 GMT

Rman313 s Picks

Mega Millions

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

2

3

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

MB

2016-01-01

12

Rman313

02

08

11

15

17

21

25

31

35

38

41

51

68

04

09

15

1

1

1

1

1

0

1

0

2016-01... [ More ]

Reply #36

Rman313 — Thu, 02 Jun 2016 15:25:29 GMT

Its nice to know that I'm ranked No.1

Reply #35

JADELottery — Thu, 02 Jun 2016 14:57:36 GMT

Rankings as of 2016-06-01

Mega Millions

Powerball

Mega Millions Powerball

Rank

Member

Score

Posts

Rank

Member

Score

Posts

Rank

Member

Score

Posts

1

Rman313

1.7409

44

1

Nydebbie

2.6659

44

1

Rman313

2.3909

87

2

fja

2.4159

44

2

Rman313

3.0409

43

2

Nydebbie

2.5875

88

3

Nydebbie

Reply #34

JADELottery — Thu, 02 Jun 2016 14:38:59 GMT

Powerball May

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

PB

2016-05-04

0

Drawn Numbers

30

47

57

66

69

03

2016-05-04

1

rcbbuckeye

05

13

1... [ More ]

Reply #33

JADELottery — Thu, 02 Jun 2016 14:30:50 GMT

Mega Millions May

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

2

3

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

MB

2016-05-03

0

Drawn Numbers

28

29

33

36

45

15

2016-05-03

1

Artist77

08

10... [ More ]

Reply #32

Rman313 — Fri, 20 May 2016 04:56:02 GMT

Reply #31

JADELottery — Thu, 19 May 2016 12:17:35 GMT

Tanks.

You're doin' pretty good in the Top 10.

Rman313, fja and Nydebbie are workin' that top spot.

Looks like Rman313 is the overall winner at this point.

Reply #30

sully16 — Thu, 19 May 2016 12:08:02 GMT

Loving this Jade, you are the man

Reply #29

JADELottery — Wed, 18 May 2016 15:25:56 GMT

As of 2016-05-17, new ranking formulation; taking in to account no posted numbers.

Like in Golf, the lower the score, the better the player.

Mega Millions

Powerball

Mega Millions Powerball

Rank

Member

Score

Posts

Rank

Member

Score

Posts

Rank

Member

Score

Posts

1

Rman313

1.6575

40

1

Nydebbie

2.6436

39

1

Rman313

2.3454

78

2

fja

Reply #28

JADELottery — Fri, 13 May 2016 14:31:52 GMT

As of 2016-05-11

Specially Formulated Average Δ from Mega Millions and Powerball combined.

Does not take in to account missed draws, but that may change.

Rank

Member

Min

Mean

Max

1

LOTTOKING2016

0.35

2.83

7.80

2

Big Hitter

0.40

3.09

4.70

3

rcbbuckeye

0.45

2.03

3.60

4

Artist77

0.45

2.90

7.00

5

Old Eagle

0.50

2.09

3.15

6

Magma

0.50... [ More ]

Reply #27

JADELottery — Thu, 12 May 2016 14:16:00 GMT

Here s what we ve been doing with our analysis.

Below are our most recent Powerball Δ differences.

As we can see, our hits are getting within 2 in the Pick 5 part and 3 in the Pick 1 part, about 58% to 67% of the time.

Pick 5 Δ

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38... [ More ]

Reply #26

sully16 — Mon, 09 May 2016 19:20:32 GMT

Some of this I understand, some not so much.

My thoughts, are you working on a way to possibly

Find a way to filter our predictions and come up

with a possible number list.

Reply #25

JADELottery — Mon, 09 May 2016 13:38:27 GMT

Member

Pick 1 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

AGC1223

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Alex1986

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

All Money... [ More ]

Reply #24

JADELottery — Mon, 09 May 2016 13:37:12 GMT

Powerball

Member

Pick 5 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

AGC1223

1

2

1

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0... [ More ]

Reply #23

JADELottery — Mon, 09 May 2016 13:35:31 GMT

Mega Millions

Member

Pick 1 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

AGC1223

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Alex1986

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

alyxmk

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Ari... [ More ]

Reply #22

JADELottery — Mon, 09 May 2016 13:34:03 GMT

Mega Millions

Member

Pick 5 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

AGC1223

1

1

1

0

2

0... [ More ]

Reply #21

JADELottery — Mon, 09 May 2016 13:31:54 GMT

Powerball - May

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

PB

2016-05-04

0

Drawn Numbers

30

47

57

66

69

03

2016-05-04

1

rcbbuckeye

05

13... [ More ]

Reply #20

JADELottery — Mon, 09 May 2016 13:30:14 GMT

Mega Millions - May

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

2

3

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

MB

2016-05-03

0

Drawn Numbers

28

29

33

36

45

15

2016-05-03

1

Artist77

08

10... [ More ]

Reply #19

ressuccess — Sat, 07 May 2016 17:48:31 GMT

Wow. That's good analysis right there.

Reply #18

JADELottery — Thu, 05 May 2016 17:09:53 GMT

Here's the separated Δ frequencies.

Keep in mind, these are a snapshot of the data and can change between draws when viewing the analyzed data.

The reason is, when there are instances of two numbers being exactly the same difference away from the drawn number, we have to choose between the + and the - side.

To prevent any bias at the time of viewing the snapshot of the analysis, the + or the - is randomly selected to represent the data at that moment.

This does not affect the previou... [ More ]

Reply #17

JADELottery — Thu, 05 May 2016 03:48:24 GMT

Reply #16

Artist77 — Wed, 04 May 2016 22:46:11 GMT

What great stats! Thanks Jadelottery. I need to use them to change any numbers I pick next time.

Reply #15

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:58:04 GMT

Overall, the total frequencies for Δ is:

Mega Millions

Pick 5 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

41

42

43

44

45

46

47

48

49

50

51

52

53

54

Total Fre... [ More ]

Reply #14

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:21:11 GMT

Next the Powerball Pick 1 or Power Ball frequency table.

Member

Pick 1 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

AGC1223

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Alex1986

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

1

0

0

0... [ More ]

Reply #13

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:16:52 GMT

Next is the frequency table for Powerball.

Again, we can see that many are just 1 away from the actual drawn numbers.

Member

Pick 5 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17

18

19

20

21

22

23

24

25

26

27

28

29

30

31

32

33

34

35

36

37

38

39

40

AGC1223

1

2

1

1... [ More ]

Reply #12

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:12:56 GMT

Powerball - April

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

PB

2016-04-02

0

Drawn Numbers

09

28

30

40

61

03

2016-04-02

1

MADDOG10

05

11... [ More ]

Reply #11

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:11:02 GMT

Powerball - March

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

PB

2016-03-02

0

Drawn Numbers

12

13

44

52

62

06

2016-03-02

1

weshar75

09

20... [ More ]

Reply #10

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:08:56 GMT

Powerball - February

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

PB

2016-02-03

0

Drawn Numbers

26

28

31

60

67

23

2016-02-03

1

Old Eagle

02

04... [ More ]

Reply #9

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 20:06:18 GMT

Powerball - January

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

1

2

3

4

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

PB

2016-01-02

0

Drawn Numbers

05

06

15

29

42

10

2016-01-02

1

rcbbuckeye

05

15... [ More ]

Reply #8

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:58:48 GMT

We can see from the previous tables, many members are very close with 1 of the actual drawn numbers.

Next we will post the Powerball analysis, month-by-month.

Reply #7

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:55:53 GMT

The next table is the Pick 1 or Mega Ball part of the Mega Millions.

Member

Pick 1 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

AGC1223

0

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

Alex1986

0

0

0

1

0

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

0

alyxmk

1

0

0

0

0

0

0

0... [ More ]

Reply #6

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:51:48 GMT

The 'Closest Match Δ to 0' shows how close each member's picks are in each Pick 5 an Pick 1 set.

We can further refine the data to show the frequency of how far each member is from the actual drawn numbers.

Below is a table of each member's Δ or difference from the drawn numbers for Mega Millions to date, 2016-05-03.

Member

Pick 5 Closest Match Δ to 0 Frequency

0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

14

15

16

17... [ More ]

Reply #5

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:38:50 GMT

Reply #4

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:36:47 GMT

Mega Millions - April

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

2

3

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

MB

2016-04-01

0

Drawn Numbers

25

28

33

41

69

06

2016-04-01

1

MADDOG10

03

0... [ More ]

Reply #3

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:34:14 GMT

Mega Millions - March

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

2

3

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

MB

2016-03-01

0

Drawn Numbers

01

29

33

34

53

06

2016-03-01

1

maximumfun

01... [ More ]

Reply #2

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:27:43 GMT

Mega Millions - February

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9

10

11

12

13

1

2

3

Pick 5

Pick 1

1

2

3

4

5

MB

2016-02-02

0

Drawn Numbers

07

13

25

51

70

09

2016-02-02

1

Old Eagle

02... [ More ]

Reply #1

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 19:08:16 GMT

Below is Mega Millions for January.

Each column is the Date, the Index of each Member's post position on that Date, the Member that posted and their posted Pick 5 / Pick 1 numbers, the Matched numbers for that draw and finally, how close each Drawn Number is to their picks.

The Drawn Numbers are embedded in the Member's column and always Index 0.

Date

Index

Member

Pick 5

Pick 1

Match

Closest Match Δ to 0

1

2

3

4

5

6

7

8

9... [ More ]

Maddog's 2016 MM & PB Challenge Analysis

JADELottery — Wed, 04 May 2016 18:57:29 GMT

Before we start.

We would like to establish a challenge posting format for the posted number we collected.

First, any member that posted more than the allowed amount of numbers in each game type has had their excess numbers dropped from the data collection.

Example, if someone posted 14 numbers in the Pick 5 part for Mega Millions, the 14th number is dropped from the analysis, because, only 13 picks are allowed.

Second, quick picks and other play line combinations were reformatted to... [ More ]