When 78% of a ticket is sold with 3 top prizes left, do you play only that game?

Reply #3

ScratchSmarter — Wed, 12 Jul 2017 14:52:15 GMT

You are Scratching Smarter!

If you do exactly the analysis you're doing for every game in NH and create a standard Factor for each game - (like our SmartFactor), you can rank the games based on how the odds of winning a top prize have changed for every game. For NH last week, our rankings looked like this:

STATE OVERALL_RANK PRICE GAME_NAME GAME_NUMBER SMARTFACTOR

NH 1 $2.00 Games The WIZARD of OZ 1285 4.018

NH 2 $2.00 Games Hunting for Hundreds 1303 2.433

NH 3 $5.00... [ More ]

Reply #2

mikeharness — Wed, 05 Jul 2017 02:02:09 GMT

I always have a theory that the lottery could (i don't know for sure) but could withhold in the factory 1 of the top prize winners. In fact, in NJ, I've seen 2 or 3 huge games (2-5mil jackpots) end before paying them after selling 99% of tickets. To be fair, I've seen some games sell all 3 top prizes with only like 70% sold. But still, when you see huge games with 99% sold and then the game ends without paying a 5 mil winner you start to wonder.

Either way, I do like to play games that h... [ More ]

Reply #1

MeintooL — Mon, 03 Jul 2017 22:29:20 GMT

NH lottery strikes again haha, went in to the store saw ticket 001 on this game, so i bought 3, all 3 losers, bought the next 2, both losers, bought the next one.. loser, bought the next one... loser, next one.... loser from 001 to 008 all losers. i couldn't bring myself to keep going especially knowing it was most likely a $10 winner if at all...

I think I just answered my own question, adios NH Lottery

When 78% of a ticket is sold with 3 top prizes left, do you play only that game?

MeintooL — Mon, 03 Jul 2017 20:53:30 GMT

We have a ticket in NH called $250,000 Frenzy, I hit $500 on it a couple weeks ago and my buddy hit $200 on it last week after i told him he should play it, according to local retailers 78% of the game has been sold(for weeks now) there are 3 out of 10 top prizes left the game has been out since 2015 and is one of the oldest scratch tickets available in NH, should i go with my original plan and switch to only playing mass tickets, or should i put all my ticket money into this NH game?

Accordi... [ More ]