6/49

Reply #11

elton — Mon, 12 Jan 2004 23:18:37 GMT

U have to remember that in any game there is some kind of patern as for example the sum of 6 numbers in each game. For the mega millions game, the average sum of the first five numbers is about 132.7. This average sum appears aproximatly in every 5 drowings. So if you pick the five first numbers and they sum more then or less then one standard deviation from 132.7, you have much less chances to win. For the tuesday the 13-th there is no clear prediction however the first five numbers might sum a... [ More ]

Reply #10

johnph77 — Mon, 12 Jan 2004 22:59:24 GMT

Cash -In the end the only figure that's meaningful is the game payout percentage. If there's a rollover jackpot, the next figure tracked should be the jackpot level where the payout percentage is at or near 1::1. And I don't think too many games will reach (or have reached) that level when the player opts for the all-cash award.gl

Reply #9

CASH Only — Mon, 12 Jan 2004 14:31:16 GMT

johnph:If $2-per-play lotto catches on, people may need to compare odds-per-$1 instead of overall odds...

Reply #8

johnph77 — Thu, 08 Jan 2004 15:55:03 GMT

OK - I see your point. Odds of winning the jackpot are 1::13,983,816. You're playing 3 games for $2.00. Therefore, if you take the jackpot odds and multiply them by 2/3, the jackpot odds per dollar are 1::9,322,544. But is it meaningful? Looking at the bottom line, the payout percentage for the jackpot is 13.27%. Period. That means that of every dollar spent on the game, 13.27 cents will be allocated to the jackpot pool. Out of approximately every $7.54 invested in the game, $1.00 will be paid o... [ More ]

Reply #7

CASH Only — Thu, 08 Jan 2004 13:07:31 GMT

johnph:The jackpot odds per DOLLAR should be about what I listed-the combined portion of the game does not affect the jackpot.

Reply #6

johnph77 — Wed, 07 Jan 2004 21:12:16 GMT

Cash Only -Doesn't sound that way to me - I believe the odds of winning the jackpot in the new game are still going to be 1::13,983,816, and the reasoning is that, from what I've read, the jackpot portion of the game is going to play exactly like a straight 6/49 lotto. Having the bonus portion of the game is not going to affect that. What will be affected is that, taken by itself, the straight portion of the ticket won't have as high an overall payout percentage as a straight 6/49 game due to fu... [ More ]

Reply #5

CASH Only — Wed, 07 Jan 2004 14:49:50 GMT

Match-6's jackpot odds per $1 will be about 1:9,650,000:49*48*47*46*45*44 2 --------------------------- X -- 6*5*4*3*2*1 3

Reply #4

Lotto Czar — Wed, 07 Jan 2004 14:43:23 GMT

Don't forget that Match 6 has three (actually 4) chances to win, so the odds are about 4-1/2 million or so

Reply #3

CASH Only — Wed, 07 Jan 2004 13:42:06 GMT

So will the PA Match-6, but will be a very different game.

Reply #2

CASH Only — Tue, 16 Dec 2003 16:09:49 GMT

The closest 6/49 to me is in New Jersey.

Reply #1

johnph77 — Tue, 16 Dec 2003 08:38:37 GMT

AND, if you sell 13,983,816 different tickets, someone is going to beat those odds.

6/49

MrSteel01 — Tue, 16 Dec 2003 06:15:31 GMT

ProbabilitiesIf you attempt to guess 1 number chosen from 49 lottery ballsthen the probability that you are correct is 1/49. If you have a second attempt, and the previous ball is not replaced, then the probability is 1/48. If you choose 6 numbers then the probability that one of themis the same as the first ball drawn is 6/49.Given that the first number is chosen correctly then theprobability for drawing the second number correctly is 5/48.The probability of choosing all six numbers correctly i... [ More ]