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Mega Millions and Powerball RaceReply
Texas lottery has it at 1.15 currently. Just to clarify, none of the places I checked, including the TX website, is advertising 1.15. The worksheet with the sales estimates OTOH, is now saying he supported annuity is 1.155, and the sales forecast has been bumped up from $133 million to $162 million. A roll (about a 75% chance) will see an advertised annuity of 1.3 and the worksheet is currently listing the supported jackpot as $1.323 billion. The supported jackpot estimate almost certainly
Sep 1, 2025, 1:12 pm - KY Floyd - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
Yes, it's very telling the advertised jackpot increase is only $10 M after 8 rollovers. Do you understand how the game and its financing work? Both PB and MM have always started with artificially high jackpots that aren't fully funded, and never had more than the minimum increase until there's enough cash to fully fund the jackpot. The smaller jackpot of the old format was funded quickly. With the new format the jackpot would remain artificially high for more drawings with exactly the same
Jul 27, 2025, 5:17 am - KY Floyd - Lottery Discussion Forum

Mega Millions Drawing IncreaseReply
Here you go Elmer Fudd..... portion of Mega Millions ticket sales revenue does go to the states that participate in the lottery. Here's how it generally works Mega Millions and Powerball: For these large, multi-state lotteries, 50% of the sales revenue goes into the prize pool to fund winnings. States' Share: The remaining 50% is allocated to participating states. A Mega Millions spokesperson told ABC News that this remaining 50% covers retailers' commissions, vendor fees, lottery admin
Jul 25, 2025, 1:33 am - Justing618 - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
While the revenue is being talked about and consideration is being given to what percent is being generated at a certain dollar value, people are also not including the starting point of $50 Million which, IMHO, is another bells and whistles gimmick in this new improved MM version from MUSL. Starting at $50M already puts you up 2+ draws on any previous jackpot, whether its the MM or the PB in the last decade plus. https://www.texaslottery.com/export/sites/lottery/Games/Mega_Millions/Estimat
Nov 6, 2025, 12:35 pm - CDanaT - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
Powerball's increase of $8.8 Million is pretty consistent with a Monday drawing. We like Powerball's transparency with Jackpot changes. Below we can see the change in Annuity, Cash and the Sales values all move fairly well with each other. Powerball doesn't give a false perception of Jackpot growth. Mega Millions, however, we can see the disconnect of the Annuity changes relative to the changes in Cash and the Sales for each drawing at the beginning of a Jackpot Run.
Apr 12, 2026, 11:54 pm - JADELottery - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
[Again] After millions of people threw away $5 on the new game format, I wonder how many of them will come back for more punishment Including the sales forecast for Tuesday's drawing MM is reporting revenue of a hair over $72 million for the first 3 drawings of the current run. That's 12.5% more than the $64 million in revenue for the first 3 drawings of the last run. That said, it may not be indicative of what we'll see after another few drawings because whenever the jackpot gets to about
Nov 23, 2025, 3:11 am - KY Floyd - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
I instead believe the $843M was underestimated, and they sold more than expected at draw #38. Their forecast for draw #38 was $70.725M as indicated in https://www.texaslottery.com/export/sites/lottery/Documents/jackpotestimates/mm20251104.pdf .. and instead it ended up being $73.752M as indicated in https://www.texaslottery.com/export/sites/lottery/Documents/jackpotestimates/mm20251107.pdf So they clearly underestimated sales for draw #38. With their actual sales numbe
Nov 8, 2025, 1:01 pm - positano - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
I am with you with the old-timed concerns. Here I was expressing ADDITIONAL concerns. I am used to see that the sales percentage increase v. the same day of the prior week should go up once the jackpot increases. If what they projected in the excellent file you linked https://www.texaslottery.com/export/sites/lottery/Documents/jackpotestimates/mm20251104.pdf (thanks for the link, did not know it) is true, they would have a +13.3% in sales v. the prior Friday. The 4 prior dra
Nov 5, 2025, 10:41 am - positano - Lottery Discussion Forum

Are you playing Mega Millions with the $5.00 per play?Reply
If they advertise $794M, they get less excitement/sales than if they advertise $800. I more or less agree with your reasoning because, even though it's a small difference in the grand scheme the lottery would be offering a few million bucks more. If you look at advertised jackpots from the past I think you'll find that for whatever reason they take their best guess at sales and stick with that number. Four weeks ago they advertised the jackpot as $547 million instead of a nice round 550 whi
Nov 4, 2025, 1:40 am - KY Floyd - Lottery Discussion Forum

Impact of "Free Money" on Lottery SpendingReply
JustMaybe brings up a really good question. The data actually backs it up. During the stimulus check period (2020-2021), US lottery sales jumped roughly 20% year-over-year. That wasn't just bigger jackpots driving more tickets, the spike in sales started within days of each stimulus deposit hitting bank accounts. The timing was too consistent to be coincidence. There's a well-documented behavioral economics concept called mental accounting , people treat money differently depending on wh
Apr 10, 2026, 5:00 pm - RichW - Lottery Discussion Forum