Search

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has been won and is reset to $7.1M cash, $15M advertised annuity. The average sales for first drawings is now 14.8M, having risen slightly in the last jackpot run, because of record sales on the first drawing for this matrix. If an average number of tickets sell this time, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.34% 19.18% 20.47% 30.02% The long term model for jackpot evolution, ignoring minimums and caps
Jan 29, 2007, 10:45 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has been won and is reset to $7.1M cash, $15M advertised annuity. The average sales for first drawings is 14.7M. If this is how many tickets sell, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.41% 19.11% 20.46% 30.02% The long term model for jackpot evolution, ignoring minimums and caps suggests the following: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw Roll
Jan 25, 2007, 4:22 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $25.9M. The advertised annuity is $53M. The average sales for a fifth drawing are $15.9M. If ticket sales are averarge, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 089.68% 19.76% 20.53% 30.02% The long term mixed linear exponential mathematical model I use - the actual jackpot is only 94% of what the model suggests - predicts the following: Average Historical
Dec 17, 2006, 8:08 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $21.2M. The advertised annuity is $43M. The average sales for a fourth drawing are $15.2M. If this is the average number of tickets that sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 090.06% 19.42% 20.49% 30.02% Long term evolution of the jackpot, as modelled mathematically looks like this: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash
Dec 14, 2006, 7:28 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Indiana Lottery gets new directorReply
A political hack gets the ax! I am no longer a participating member here at Lottery Post but I do want to comment on this story. Hoosier Lottery Esther Schnieder is currently under investigation by The Indiana Inspector General's office for ethics violations. The charges include...among other things...paying prizes to holders of expired tickets to the now defunct Hoosier Millionaire game. <>She also held a politcial fundraiser for Senator Richard Lugar in which she alledge
Dec 13, 2006, 9:35 pm - Uncle Jim - Lottery News

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $16M. The advertised annuity is $3M. The average sales for a third drawing are $15.4M. If this is the average number of tickets that sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 090.01% 19.47% 20.50% 30.02% The linear/exponential model function predicts the following long term evolution of the jackpot. Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalcula
Dec 11, 2006, 9:47 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $12.9M. The advertised annuity is $27M. The average sales for a third drawing are $14.9M. If this is the average number of tickets that sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 090.24% 19.26% 20.48% 30.02% The long term model was accurate this time out in predicting the current situation. The Powerball sales seem to grow in linear for the first 12 draws
Dec 7, 2006, 8:55 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $9.8M. The advertised annuity is now $20M. Second round drawings sell on average, 14.2M tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell on this drawing the randomized probability of a rollover will be as follows: 090.68% 18.87% 20.43% 30.01% The model for long term jackpot evolution suggests the following: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSi
Dec 3, 2006, 10:20 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has been won. The jackpot is reset at $7.3M cash and $15M in advertised annuity. First round draws sell on average 14.7M tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the probability of various numbers of winners is: 090.40% 19.12% 20.46% 30.02% The long term model program, which ignores reserves, minimums and caps suggests the following long term probability for jackpot evolution: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated Annuity
Nov 30, 2006, 8:41 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $36M. The advertised annuity is now $74M. Eighth round jackpots sell on average, 18.6M tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell on this drawing the randomized probability of a rollover will be as follows: 088.02% 111.23% 20.72% 30.03% Note that the last time, in error, I posted the long term probability starting from an eighth draw and not a seventh. Thus the correct long term model
Nov 26, 2006, 9:13 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum