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Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled over. The cash value is $31.1M; the advertised annuity is $64M. Seventh draws on average sell $17.2M in tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 088.91% 110.45% 20.61% 30.02% The function that I use to model long term probabilities suggests the following, ignoring minimums and caps: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value
Nov 23, 2006, 12:19 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash value is $26.1M; the advertised annuity is $54M. On average, sixth drawings in a powerball jackpot run sell $16.89M in tickets. Were the average number of tickets to sell this time out, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 089.08% 110.30% 20.60% 30.02% The model function for the long term evolution of jackpots suggests the following: Average Historical AnnuityCalculate
Nov 19, 2006, 12:53 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash value is $26.1M; the advertised annuity is $54M. On average, sixth drawings in a powerball jackpot run sell $16.89M in tickets. Were the average number of tickets to sell this time out, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 089.08% 110.30% 20.60% 30.02% The model function for the long term evolution of jackpots suggests the following: Average Historical AnnuityCalculat
Nov 19, 2006, 12:51 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball Jackpot has rolled. The cash jackpot is $21.5M, the advertised annuity is $45M. Fifth round drawing sell 15.8M tickets on average. If sales of average, he is the randomized probability of various numbers of winners: 089.75% 19.71% 20.52% 30.02% The long term model suggests the following for jackpot evolution: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw Rollover ProbabilityOverall Probabil
Nov 16, 2006, 8:10 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled. The cash jackpot is $16.9M. The advertised annuity is $35M. The average sales for a fourth drawing are $15.5M. If the average number of tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 089.96% 19.52% 20.50% 30.02% The mixed linear/exponential model function suggests jackpot evolution as follows: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw R
Nov 12, 2006, 7:38 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Sometimes, for ease, I cut and paste and change the numbers in the first sentence of my posts in this thread from previous entries. The last time I forgot to change the relevant numbers. The cash jackpot is $12.9M. The advertised annuity is $27M. The average sales for a third drawing are $14.9M. If this is the average number of tickets that sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 090.30% 19.21% 20.47% 30.02%
Nov 11, 2006, 8:26 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $9.4M. The advertised annuity value is $20M. Second round jackpots on average sell 14.3M in tickets. If this number of tickets is sold for this draw, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 090.30% 19.21% 20.47% 30.02% The long term modelling function suggests the following: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSi
Nov 9, 2006, 1:08 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $9.4M. The advertised annuity value is $20M. Second round jackpots on average sell 14.3M in tickets. If this number of tickets is sold for this draw, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 090.65% 18.90% 20.44% 30.01% My mixed linear exponential model for long term probability of this run's continuance is as follows: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCa
Nov 5, 2006, 1:45 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has had two winners. The jackpot is reset at $7.1M cash, $15M advertised annuity. The average sales for a first drawing is $14.6M. If this draw sells at the average value the probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.46% 19.07% 20.45% 30.02% The long term jackpot evolution model program predicts the following evolution exclusive of reserves, minimums and caps: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculat
Nov 2, 2006, 5:00 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The PB jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is $27.7M; the advertised annuity is $59M. The average sales for a 6th draw are 16.7M. This suggests a randomized probability for various numbers of winners as follows: 089.22% 110.18% 20.58% 30.02% The long term linear/exponential function suggests the following probability for jackpot evolution, ignoring reserves, caps and minimums: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value Pr
Oct 19, 2006, 7:19 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum