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Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is now $18M; the advertised annuity is $37.0M Fourth drawings average $15.2M. If this is the number of tickets that sell on the next drawing, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.11% 19.39% 20.49% 30.02% The mixed linear/exponential modeling function I use for powerball suggests the following jackpot evolution probabilities: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated Annuit
Oct 12, 2006, 8:25 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is now $13.2M; the advertised annuity is $27.0M Third drawings average $14.9M. If this is the number of tickets that sell on the next drawing, the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.30% 19.21% 20.47% 30.02% The modeling program I use to estimate long term probabilities suggests the following jackpot evolution, ignoring reserves, minimums and caps: Average Historical A
Oct 8, 2006, 1:23 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled over. The cash jackpot is $9.7M, the advertised annuity $20M. Sales on second round drawings average $14.0M. If average sales are obtained the distribution of probable numbers of winners is as follows: 090.46% 19.07% 20.45% 30.02% The projection model is as follows: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw Rollover ProbabilityOverall Probability from baseline $560,640,221.97$271,91
Oct 5, 2006, 8:01 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

State TaxReply
I agree with the posts from a few months ago that US citizens are taxed on world wide income. If you are a US citizen and you win a tax free Canadian, a tax free UK, a tax free Irish or any other tax free lottery outside the US, your tax situation would most likely look like the Massachusetts and California situation mentioned earlier. You would have to pay state income taxes in addition to federal income taxes. If there is a gambling winnings tax treaty between/among the foreign country, t
Oct 3, 2006, 12:05 pm - Preppy - Lottery Discussion Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has been one and the the jackpot has been reset at $7.2M cash and $15 million as an advertised annuity. A first round draw produces on average, 14.5M in sales. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the randomized distribution of winners will be as follows: 090.55% 18.99% 20.45% 30.01% The long term model equation for the evolution of Powerball jackpots suggests this: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value
Sep 24, 2006, 8:01 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball, as we know, rolled last Saturday night. The cash jackpot is $23.3M and the advertised annuity jackpot is $51M. Powerball's fifth drawings average 15.6M in sales. The randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be, if this is the number of tickets sold: 089.85% 19.62% 20.51% 30.02% The mixed linear/exponential modeling function suggests the following probabilities of jackpot evolution: Average Jackpots$592,994,190.94$270,481,866
Aug 22, 2006, 11:42 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled. The new cash jackpot is $18.4M. The advertised annuity is $40M. The average sales for 4th round drawing is 14.9M. If this is how many tickets the randomized distribution of winners is as follows: 090.30% 19.21% 20.47% 30.02% The mixed linear/exponential model gives the following results: Average Jackpots$592,764,980.11$270,377,31726.78%0.29% $353 $464,939,801.32$212,072,54237.71%1.09% $300 $370,308,653.63$168,908,52848.57%2.
Aug 17, 2006, 6:27 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $13.2M and the advertised annuity value is $29M. The average 3rd draw jackpot has sales of 14.9M. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the randomized probability distribution for numbers of winners is as follows: 090.32% 19.19% 20.47% 30.02% The mixed linear/exponential modeling function suggests the following long term probabilities, ignoring reserves, minimums and caps: Average Jackpots$592
Aug 14, 2006, 10:36 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Super Hot Lotto 2010Reply
O.K. If Hot Lotto wants a realistic chance of being played everywhere Powerball is (which I don't recommend if it's going to winfall per se), changes need to be made. The game has to be unique, but simple, and the closest to that would be a pick-7. No other state has had a pick-7 since Maryland (which isn't even involved here) got rid of Cash In Hand. So, I developed a 7/40, which some lotto veterans will remember as the original Lotto-America matrix. I like CO's idea for a winfall feature (wh
Aug 14, 2006, 1:51 am - JimmySand9 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
Powerball has rolled over. The cash value is $9.2M, the advertised annuity is $20M. Second drawings have sold at an average of $13.8M. If this is how many tickets sell, the distribution of winners will have the following probability: 090.98% 18.60% 20.41% 30.01% The long term mixed linear/exponential modeling function gives the following predictions for jackpot evolution: Average Jackpots$592,590,519.86$270,297,74026.78%0.24% $353 $464,765,
Aug 10, 2006, 11:09 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum