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Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
Powerball has been one and the the jackpot has been reset at $7.2M cash and $15 million as an advertised annuity.
A first round draw produces on average, 14.5M in sales. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the randomized distribution of winners will be as follows:
090.55%
18.99%
20.45%
30.01%
The long term model equation for the evolution of Powerball jackpots suggests this:
Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value
Sep 24, 2006, 8:01 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
Powerball, as we know, rolled last Saturday night. The cash jackpot is $23.3M and the advertised annuity jackpot is $51M.
Powerball's fifth drawings average 15.6M in sales. The randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be, if this is the number of tickets sold:
089.85%
19.62%
20.51%
30.02%
The mixed linear/exponential modeling function suggests the following probabilities of jackpot evolution:
Average Jackpots$592,994,190.94$270,481,866
Aug 22, 2006, 11:42 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The MM jackpot has rolled. The cash jackpot is $28.2M. The advertised annuity is $49M. The average number of sales for a 5th drawing is 19.9M, but sales have been lower than average.
If, nonetheless, this is how many tickets sell, the randomized probability for various numbers of winners is:
089.30%
110.11%
20.57%
30.02%
The long term model for jackpot evolution suggests the following:
Historical Average Advertised Annuity Jackpots$613,661,187.0
Aug 20, 2006, 1:21 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The MM jackpot has rolled. The cash jackpot is $28.2M. The advertised annuity is $49M. The average number of sales for a 5th drawing is 19.9M, but sales have been lower than average.
If, nonetheless, this is how many tickets sell, the randomized probability for various numbers of winners is:
089.30%
110.11%
20.57%
30.02%
The long term model for jackpot evolution suggests the following:
Historical Average Advertised Annuity Jackpots$613,661,187.0
Aug 20, 2006, 1:21 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
Powerball has rolled. The new cash jackpot is $18.4M. The advertised annuity is $40M. The average sales for 4th round drawing is 14.9M. If this is how many tickets the randomized distribution of winners is as follows:
090.30%
19.21%
20.47%
30.02%
The mixed linear/exponential model gives the following results:
Average Jackpots$592,764,980.11$270,377,31726.78%0.29%
$353 $464,939,801.32$212,072,54237.71%1.09%
$300 $370,308,653.63$168,908,52848.57%2.
Aug 17, 2006, 6:27 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $13.2M and the advertised annuity value is $29M.
The average 3rd draw jackpot has sales of 14.9M. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the randomized probability distribution for numbers of winners is as follows:
090.32%
19.19%
20.47%
30.02%
The mixed linear/exponential modeling function suggests the following long term probabilities, ignoring reserves, minimums and caps:
Average Jackpots$592
Aug 14, 2006, 10:36 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
Powerball has rolled over. The cash value is $9.2M, the advertised annuity is $20M. Second drawings have sold at an average of $13.8M. If this is how many tickets sell, the distribution of winners will have the following probability:
090.98%
18.60%
20.41%
30.01%
The long term mixed linear/exponential modeling function gives the following predictions for jackpot evolution:
Average Jackpots$592,590,519.86$270,297,74026.78%0.24%
$353 $464,765,
Aug 10, 2006, 11:09 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
The Powerball jackpot has been won, and the cash value has been reset at $6.9M, and the advertised set annuity value is now $15M. First drawing Powerball Sales average 14.5M. If this is how many tickets sell, the probability for randomized tickets of total numbers of winners is as follows:
090.52%
19.01%
20.45%
30.01%
Long term jackpot evolution, ignoring minimums, caps and reserves, is modelled by a mixed linear/exponential function that suggests the following:
Aug 7, 2006, 8:57 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Hot Summer Strings!!
Results for the whole week from July25th-31st.
Calif.--(1) 4 spot and (7) 3 spots PPPFTTTT, big raspberry to my home state this week! (-)
Colorado--(10) 4 spots (9) 3 spots // more (-) then +
Conn.--(3) Jackpots (11) 3 spots (-)
Fla.--(2) JP's (4) 4 spots (11) 3 spots (even on pluses and minuses)
Geo.--(7) 4 spots (10) 3 spots (even)
Ill.--(3) 4 spots (8) 3 spots (+)
Indiana-- (6) 4 spots (9) 3 spots (+)
Iowa--(3) 4 spots (6) 3 spots (+)
Hot Lotto--(6) 3+hotball (+)
Aug 1, 2006, 5:04 pm - lottolaughs - Pick 5 Forum
Lottery sales in Pa. hit record $3 billion
Pennsylvania Lottery sales for the 2005-06 fiscal year reached a record $3.07 billion, Gov. Rendell said yesterday.
Sales grew by $425 million, the largest dollar increase in the lottery's 34-year history, leaving the agency with a $400 million surplus. The state will use half that money to expand property-tax and rent-rebate programs for senior citizens, said Stephanie Weyant, a spokeswoman for the state Revenue Department.
The expanded rebates will go out in 2007 to pay for the 2006 tax
Aug 1, 2006, 8:39 am - Todd - Lottery News
