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How would you design a game so more people win?Reply
can't be done , the must simple thing your asking for is already here its called, raffle games everyone gets a ticket and their a lot more top winners the real issue is this, You Cant have the sells of powerball and mega millions giving a small army of winners WITHOUT the Large singe jackpot , this is reality, We Are Greedy, We See Big Numbers, We Buy More People don't spend money on lottery games if they SEE LOW NUMBERS powerball has already tryed to pass the winning
Jan 29, 2011, 10:35 pm - joshuacloak - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
The MM has rolled over. The cash prize is now $35.6M. The advertised annuity is $60M. Average sales for 6th round draws are 19.2M. If this draw produces average sales, the probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 089.61% 19.83% 20.54% 30.02% The long term jackpot model program I use for long term evolution of jackpots suggests the following: Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Calculated Annuity PrizeModel Calcula
Mar 24, 2007, 2:09 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
The MM Jackpot has been won. The cash value is $28.6M. The advertised annuity is 48M. The average 6th round jackpot sells 19.3M tickets. If sales are average, the probability of various numbers of winners will be: 089.61% 19.83% 20.54% 30.02% The long term modelling program suggests the following: Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Calculated Annuity PrizeModel Calculated Cash ValueSingle Draw Calculated Model Rollover ProbabilityOv
Mar 21, 2007, 5:49 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
The MM jackpot has rolled over. The cash prize is $16.7M; the advertised annuity is $28M. The average sales on a third drawing is 15.89M. Sales as this level would approximately produce the following randomized probability for numbers of winners: 091.35% 18.26% 20.37% 30.01% As is often the case after a big jackpot has been run, the first drawing of the next run sold unusually high amounts of tickets. For this reason, I will be treating the system as if one
Mar 14, 2007, 9:20 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
The MM jackpot has rolled over. The cash value is $11.3M, the advertised annuity, $19M. Second round drawings produce sales typically of 14.8M in sales. If this is how many tickets sell, the probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 082.90% 115.55% 21.46% 30.09% The long term model, which ignores minimums, predicts the following for long term evolution of the jackpot: Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Calculated A
Mar 11, 2007, 3:44 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
The MM jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $52.8M. The jackpot's advertised annuity value is $91M. The average sales for a ninth drawing are 25.6M. The randomized probability of various numbers of winners for this amount of sales is as follows: 086.43% 112.61% 20.92% 30.04% The expectation value is 0.47. The long term probability rollover model gives the following projection: Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Cal
Feb 7, 2007, 12:27 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
MM has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $25.0M; the advertised annuity is $43M. On average, 5th round draws sell 18.4M tickets. If the sales are average on this drawing the randomized probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 090.05% 19.44% 20.49% 30.02% The long term model suggests the following evolution of the jackpot: Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Calculated Annuity PrizeModel Calculated Cash ValueSingle Dr
Jan 24, 2007, 1:06 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
MM has rolled over. The jackpot is $19.2M cash. The advertised annuity is $33M. Third round sales have averaged 15.89M in sales. If this is how many tickets sell, the randomized probability distribution for numbers of winners is as follows: 091.35% 18.26% 20.37% 30.01% The long term evolution probabilities as modeled by least squares curve fitting to an exponential function suggest the following: Historical Average Advertised Annuity Ja
Jan 21, 2007, 7:04 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
MM has rolled over. The cash jackpot is $14.5M; the advertised annuity value is $25M. Third round draws sell on average 15.9M tickets. If this is how many tickets sell, the randomized probability for numbers of winners is as follows: 091.36% 18.26% 20.37% 30.01% The long term modelling function, which does not account for early minimums predicts the following behavior for jackpot evolution: Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Calculated
Jan 17, 2007, 8:12 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
MM has rolled over. The cash jackpot is $9.3M. The advertised annuity value is $16M. Second round draws sell on average $14.9M tickets. If this is the number of tickets that sell, the probability of various numbers of winners is distributed as follows: 091.89% 17.77% 20.33% 30.01% The long term projection program, which ignores minimums and does not accurately predict prizes (although it does predict sales in making the calculations) suggests the following:
Jan 13, 2007, 10:17 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum