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Potential Reoccurrence Probability
This is some very awsome stuff!
I've been reading through your various posts trying to make more sense out of them. There are many things I've always understood but was never quite sure how to apply a formula to them...
Half-life of Reoccurrence
Reference - Potential Reoccurrence Probability
Half-life of Reoccurrence - xl = -m ln(1 / 2)
m - average rate of reoccurrence
xl - half-life of reoccurrence
So I take it the Half-Life is the 50% chance mark or
Nov 11, 2006, 12:12 pm - Thoth - Mathematics Forum
Maddogs Mega Millions Challenge 11/10
11/10 Results=11-42-52-53-55 MB-28
Match 5+0 Winners:
- California (1)
- Georgia (1)
- Michigan (1)
- Ohio (1)
5+1 000,000 $63,000,000
5+0 000,004 $250,000/$341,445
4+1 000,021 $10,000/$23,670
4+0 001,103 $150/$172
3+1 001,251 $150/$159
2+1 021,294 $10/$11
3+0 057,529 $7/$8
1+1 140,635 $3/$3
0+1 286,244 $2/$2
====================
TOT 508,081
Jackpot Rolled to $75,000,000 for the 11/14 Drawing!
Nov 11, 2006, 6:10 am - Raven62 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The MM jackpot has rolled. The cash value is $44.3M ; the advertised annuity is $75M. Eighth round jackpots sell on average, $23.2M in tickets. If the current drawing results in average sales the probability of various numbers of winner is as follows:
087.61%
111.59%
20.77%
30.03%
The long term model, a curve fit exponential function now overestimates the jackpot by 3%. It is nonetheless useful for estimating the long term probability of the lottery going to h
Nov 11, 2006, 1:24 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
pcnut’s “3,8,9 Concept” unveiling.
Plunger
My theory is this, basically:
I play overdue numbers, and play the mathematics of the game. At some point, the odds of winning have to even out, even if it comes down to an individual number. When you do start playing, my theory is that you must play to WIN, not to break even or lose just a little bit, but to win. To each individual case, I apply a progression. What that means is that you bet enough to make a profit, which could be one draw or 30 draws. But let's say that you want
Nov 10, 2006, 4:25 pm - cps10 - Lottery Systems Forum
014 combo is Hot ALWAYS looks like
Here's what I can see so far...
Any state with 2 drawings a day, the 014 combo should be hitting 2 times each month... states with 1 drawing a day, 1 time each month (based on past results)
Here's a list of states that are due, the last date the 014 combo was drawn, and what was drawn.
CT- Sept. 30 0451
FL- Sept. 19 8104
GA- Oct. 18 0413
IN- Sept. 15 4109
**Tri-State Jul. 3 0241** WAY OVERDUE
MI- eve. Sept 22 1048
MO- ev
Nov 5, 2006, 5:15 am - Surge - Pick 4 Forum
Maddogs Mega Millions Challenge 11/3
11/03 Results=08-10-22-25-55 MB-22
Match 5+0 Winners:
- California (1)
- Illinois (2)
- New Jersey (1)
- New York (1)
- Ohio (1)
- Virginia (1)
5+1 000,000 $42,000,000
5+0 000,007 $250,000/$832,331
4+1 000,029 $10,000/$20,910
4+0 001,208 $150/$149
3+1 001,509 $150/$149
2+1 023,917 $10/$8
3+0 064,727 $7/$7
1+1 135,577 $3/$3
0+1 242,396 $2/$2
Jackpot Rolled to $52,000,000 for the 11/07 Drawing!
Nov 4, 2006, 7:15 am - Raven62 - Jackpot Games Forum
Maddogs Powerball Challenge 11/1
11/01 Results=07-08-13-46-54 PB-35 (Power Play=2)
2 Players Matched 5+1:
- 1 from Arizona
- 1 from Minnesota
5 Players Matched 5+0:
- 1 from Connecticut
- 1 from Kentucky with Power Play
- 1 from New Hampshire
- 1 from Oklahoma
- 1 from Pennsylvania
5+1 000,002+(000,000 with Power Play)=000,002 $93,000,000
5+0 000,004+(000,001 with Power Play)=000,005 $200,000/$400,000
4+1 000,031+(000,007 with Power Play)=000,038 $10,000/$20,000
4+0 001,055+(000,226 with Power Play)=001,281 $
Nov 2, 2006, 6:59 am - Raven62 - Jackpot Games Forum
New PA Game - Mix And Match
To all.
I did find some info on Payouts on the new $2 Mix and match game.
The Match
all 5 in order wins jackpot; starting at $50,000 and progressing.
4 in order pays $1,000
3 in order pays $100
2 in order pays $4
1 in order gets a free ticket.
The MIx
All 5 not in order pays $2000
Any 4 anywhere pays $20
Any 3 anywhere pays $2.
As in match six, these two ways can be added together. There are 17 different ways to win. Since there is only a total of 19
Oct 31, 2006, 8:45 am - Lotto Czar - Jackpot Games Forum
Maddogs Powerball Challenge 10/28
10/28 Results=14-22-30-38-41 PB-12 (Power Play=5)
3 Players Matched 5+0:
- 1 from Kentucky
- 1 from Minnesota
- 1 from South Carolina
5+1 000,000+(000,000 with Power Play)=000,000 $83,000,000
5+0 000,003+(000,000 with Power Play)=000,003 $200,000
4+1 000,037+(000,009 with Power Play)=000,046 $10,000/$50,000
4+0 001,606+(000,320 with Power Play)=001,926 $100/$500
3+1 001,376+(000,290 with Power Play)=001,666 $100/$500
3+0 056,081+(012,467 with Power Play)=068,548 $7/$35
2+1 022,651
Oct 29, 2006, 3:35 am - Raven62 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash value of the jackpot is $44M. The advertised annuity value is $93.0M. Ninth draws average 21.134M in sales. If the number of tickets that sell in the next drawing is average then the randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows:
086.53%
112.52%
20.91%
30.04%
The accuracy of the long term model is now off 5%, as compared to about 2% on the last draw. Nevertheless, here is what it predicts
Oct 29, 2006, 12:47 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
