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The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$7,100,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$12,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$9,800,000
Powerball Annuity Value$20,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.90.68%
Megamillions Rolls91.72%
Both Roll83.17%
Powerball Rolls, MM won7.51%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.55%
Both won.0.77%
Either, but not both, won16.06%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
MM exce
Dec 3, 2006, 10:21 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$23,900,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$40,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$7,300,000
Powerball Annuity Value$15,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.90.40%
Megamillions Rolls89.94%
Both Roll81.31%
Powerball Rolls, MM won9.10%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.63%
Both won.0.97%
Either, but not both, won17.73%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior on current run
MM exc
Nov 30, 2006, 8:44 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$18,400,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$31,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$36,000,000
Powerball Annuity Value$74,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.88.02%
Megamillions Rolls90.90%
Both Roll80.01%
Powerball Rolls, MM won8.01%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.89%
Both won.1.09%
Either, but not both, won18.90%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M ann
Nov 26, 2006, 8:21 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$13,600,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$23,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$31,100,000
Powerball Annuity Value$64,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.88.91%
Megamillions Rolls91.32%
Both Roll81.20%
Powerball Rolls, MM won7.71%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.13%
Both won.0.96%
Either, but not both, won17.84%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M ann
Nov 23, 2006, 12:20 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$9,400,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$16,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$26,100,000
Powerball Annuity Value$54,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.89.08%
Megamillions Rolls91.85%
Both Roll81.82%
Powerball Rolls, MM won7.26%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.10.03%
Both won.0.89%
Either, but not both, won17.29%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M annu
Nov 19, 2006, 12:55 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.
The sales figures for the last MM drawing are now available. Here is the long term probability model function data for the probability for the evolution of the jackpot:
Historical Average Advertised Annuity JackpotsModel Calculated Annuity PrizeModel Calculated Cash ValueSingle Draw Calculated Model Rollover ProbabilityOverall Calculated Model Rollover Probability
$593,382,592.54$348,612,27344.87%0.21%
$517,163,807.92$303,833,73749.38%0.46%
$450,060,465.71$264,410,52453.73
Nov 19, 2006, 12:41 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$7,100,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$12,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$21,500,000
Powerball Annuity Value$45,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.89.75%
Megamillions Rolls91.71%
Both Roll82.31%
Powerball Rolls, MM won7.44%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.9.40%
Both won.0.85%
Either, but not both, won16.84%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M annui
Nov 16, 2006, 8:12 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$44,300,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$75,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$16,900,000
Powerball Annuity Value$35,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.89.96%
Megamillions Rolls87.61%
Both Roll78.81%
Powerball Rolls, MM won11.14%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.80%
Both won.1.24%
Either, but not both, won19.94%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M ann
Nov 12, 2006, 7:39 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$37,100,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$63,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$12,900,000
Powerball Annuity Value$27,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.90.30%
Megamillions Rolls88.39%
Both Roll79.82%
Powerball Rolls, MM won10.48%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.57%
Both won.1.13%
Either, but not both, won19.05%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M ann
Nov 9, 2006, 1:14 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
The odds of both neither, just one.
Prize Values
MegaMillions Cash Value$30,500,000
MegaMillions Annuity Value$52,000,000
Powerball Cash Value$9,400,000
Powerball Annuity Value$20,000,000
Type of OutcomeProbability
Powerball Rolls.90.65%
Megamillions Rolls89.56%
Both Roll81.18%
Powerball Rolls, MM won9.46%
MM Rolls, Powerball won.8.38%
Both won.0.98%
Either, but not both, won17.84%
Type of Outcome Calculated From Mathematical Models of Jackpot Behavior
MM exceeds 100M annui
Nov 5, 2006, 1:46 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum
