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Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The mixed linear/exponential jackpot evolution model suggests the following: Average Jackpots$603,707,212.14$267,214,66826.06%0.64% $353 $469,246,655.07$207,699,33937.37%2.46% $300 $370,833,566.94$164,139,44848.65%6.59% $245 $298,803,998.37$132,257,50759.02%13.55% $208 $246,084,803.72$108,922,78267.98%22.97% $193 $207,499,073.73$91,843,85275.39%33.78% $173 $179,257,774.36$79,343,60581.32%44.81% $152 $158,587,671.96$70,194,54385.96%55.10% $126 $143,459,007.80$63,498,2
May 14, 2006, 2:26 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The mixed linear/exponential model (switch to exponential at draw 13) suggests the following long term probabilities for jackpot evolution, ignoring caps and reserves, will apply for the current $32.6M cash, $73M advertised annuity jackpot: Average Jackpots$602,999,231.24$266,901,29926.06%0.50% $353 $468,538,674.17$207,385,97137.37%1.90% $300 $370,125,586.04$163,826,07948.65%5.09% $245 $298,096,017.47$131,944,13959.02%10.45% $208 $245,376,822.82$108,609,41367.98%17.71% $19
May 7, 2006, 8:19 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

13 State Employees to Share $224 Million Powerball Lottery JackpotReply
OK Chuck...so you're not high enough up the MUSL foodchain to get a bonus. Bummer! You deserve one. Just a couple of points: I don't want to hold the lottery to a different standard. I want to hold them to the same standard any other business is held to. Most notably truth in advertising. The bottom line with me is this...It's clear Powerball doesn't want winners at the lower level. They want to advertise a great minimum prize but they also want to make sure nobody wins it. As
Apr 21, 2006, 10:03 am - Uncle Jim - Lottery News

13 State Employees to Share $224 Million Powerball Lottery JackpotReply
OK...it's not a debating tactic of mine and I certainly don't think your remarks are stupid. I had a little trouble with your use of the phrase ...whether Powerball has jumped the shark. I don't know what the phrase jumped the shark means. Would you please explain it to me so that we can clear up any misunderstanding I may have. So let's start over. Simply put my position is: There were only 3 more jackpots won in 2005 than in 2004. There were only 2 more jackpots won in 200
Apr 17, 2006, 11:32 pm - Uncle Jim - Lottery News

Powerball Back-to-Back Jackpots Set RecordReply
I am so sick of this Powerball propaganda. The players got a major screwing last year after the matrix change and this nitwit spokesman comes out and says the changes really caught on? What a crock! It's far more likely the general public is absolutely clueless about the changes and is reacting to the bogusly inflated jackpots. Imagine Joe and Josephine Schmuck sitting around the kitchen table having a conversation about Powerball: Joe: Hey honey? Do you realize that last year they mad
Apr 12, 2006, 7:38 pm - Uncle Jim - Lottery News

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
I have developed a modeling function that fits the experimental behavior of the Powerball pretty well, at least when one looks at it graphically. This function models the Powerball as a linear growth function to draw 12, and thereafter as an exponential function using the data points of average values from drawings 13 to 19. The model does not fit perfectly the behavior of the recent run, which has been above average in performance overall. Still it is a useful approximation and I offer it
Apr 9, 2006, 1:45 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Powerball lottery jackpot reaches $250 millionReply
Quote: Originally posted by Chewie on February 12, 2006The odds for Wednesday's drawing will be around 45-48%, depending on the amount of ticket sales. Are those real numbers - 46-48% some one will win? Math is not my forte. With the snow, I can't get to PA today, so I guess I'll make a bet through PTS. Hummm, EuroMillion is at $31-32 million. Might get a couple of those also. Maybe it will be a good luck snow! As an approximation, the numbers aren't bad, but they're a
Feb 13, 2006, 1:50 am - KY Floyd - Lottery News

Probability of a MegaMillions rollover.Reply
Here is the long range model probability table updated for the last drawing: $513,808,366.41$305,949,52751.39%0.80% $451,338,491.35$268,751,55655.35%1.55% $395,828,017.45$235,697,59259.12%2.80% $346,501,638.77$206,325,97662.68%4.74% $315 $302,670,421.65$180,226,47866.03%7.56% $262 $263,722,182.48$157,034,57269.16%11.45% $225 $229,112,937.43$136,426,34072.06%16.56% $192 $198,359,304.70$118,113,95074.74%22.98% $165 $171,031,753.21$101,841,63577.20%30.75% $147 $146
Feb 1, 2006, 9:52 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Powerball $170 Million Drawing TonightNews Story
Players around world are waiting for the numbers to be drawn in the $170 million Powerball drawing, which takes place tonight at 11:00 PM Eastern Daylight Time. Some facts about tonight's drawing: $170 million jackpot would rank as the 8th largest Powerball jackpot ever. It would also rank as the 14th largest lottery jackpot ever. This is the largest current lottery jackpot in the world. The estimated cash option is $90.4 million. The draw on Wednesday night will be the 15th draw of this
May 5, 2004, 7:49 am - Todd - Lottery News

v-dude vision fully explained
no more beating around the bush. no more ( alot of) dropped hints. i have been in here for a little over a year and i have been waiting for someone to ask the right question that would open the door. so without further adieu i will give credit where credit is due. annuityisgreat is the impetus for this disclosure. he is the one that God had picked to open the door (thanks annuity). a couple of people had come close. sedertree during our challenge asked me when the time comes will you prove yo
Sep 23, 2003, 4:00 pm - visiondude - Lottery Discussion Forum