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Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash jackpot is now $31.6 The advertised annuity is $65M. The average sales for a seventh drawing are $17.1M. If ticket sales are averarge, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is: 088.93% 110.43% 20.61% 30.02% The projection models suggests this: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsSingle Draw Rollover ProbabilityOverall Probability f
Dec 21, 2006, 6:36 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Minnesota lottery player claims Powerball jackpotNews Story
Michael Hawes and his fiancee were so tickled their baby boy survived a premature birth that they named him Lucky. On Tuesday, the kid had his own reason to be happy: His old man just won $47 million. Hawes, 46, said he had no idea he held the winning ticket in the Nov. 1 drawing until Monday afternoon, when he stopped at a Cub Foods supermarket in Bloomington to buy some pop. While he was there, he decided to get some tickets in his wallet scanned. I brought it to New York and wandered
Dec 7, 2006, 10:15 am - Todd - Lottery News

N.C. lottery excitement: first Powerball jackpot winnerNews Story
Someone who bought a Powerball lottery ticket this week in North Carolina is $74.5 million richer this morning. Powerball officials say one winning ticket matching all six numbers drawn Wednesday night was sold this week. That ticket was sold in North Carolina, although there is no word this morning where that ticket was purchased. The winning numbers were 2, 8, 9, 12 and 19, with the Powerball number of 25. The Power Play multiplier was 3. This is the first Powerball jackpot won w
Nov 30, 2006, 10:06 am - Todd - Lottery News

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled over. The cash value of the jackpot is $44M. The advertised annuity value is $93.0M. Ninth draws average 21.134M in sales. If the number of tickets that sell in the next drawing is average then the randomized probability of various numbers of winners will be as follows: 086.53% 112.52% 20.91% 30.04% The accuracy of the long term model is now off 5%, as compared to about 2% on the last draw. Nevertheless, here is what it predicts
Oct 29, 2006, 12:47 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
The Powerball jackpot has rolled. The cash value is now $83.5M. The advertised annuity value is represented as being $179M. The lottery has been selling above average sales on this run. Although in a temporal sense, the upcoming draw is the 13th in this series, the jackpots are better reflected by an average 14th draw. I will therefore treat the system as if it were a 14th draw. The average number of sales on a 14th draw is about $40.0M tickets. If this is the number of sales reali
Sep 17, 2006, 1:53 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
PB has rolled. The cash value is $73.9. The advertised annuity is $157M. These figures are more consistent with a 13th draw in an average run, rather than a 12th. I will therefore treat it as a 13th draw. The average 13th draw produces sales of $30.4M. If this is how many tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 081.23% 116.88% 21.75% 30.12% 40.01% The modeling function predicts the following
Sep 14, 2006, 1:57 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
PB has rolled. The cash value is $64.5. The advertised annuity is $137M. The average 11th draw produces sales of $26.5M. It this is how many tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 083.40% 115.14% 21.37% 30.08% The long term probability modelling function is lagging on this draw, because sales are running ahead of the average values. Nonetheless here is what the model predicts for long term jackpot e
Sep 10, 2006, 9:32 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
PB has rolled. The cash value is $55.8. The advertised annuity is $119M. The average 10th draw produces sales of $23.7. It this is how many tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 083.93% 114.70% 21.29% 30.08% The long term mixed linear modeling function, ignoring caps, reserves and minimums and is running about 6% behind the actual run. Nevertheless this is what it predicts for long term jackpot evo
Sep 7, 2006, 6:04 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
PB has rolled. The cash value is $47.9M. The advertised annuity is $102M. The average 9th draw produces sales of $17.9M. It this is how many tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 086.82% 112.27% 20.87% 30.04% The model function developed for this game shows the following jackpot evolution, for what it's worth: Average Historical AnnuityCalculated AnnuityCalculated Cash Value ProjectionsS
Sep 3, 2006, 9:51 pm - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum

Probability of a Rollover in Powerball.Reply
PB has rolled. The cash value is $41.3M. The advertised annuity is $89M. The average 8th draw produces sales of $17.9M. It this is how many tickets sell, the randomized distribution of probability of various numbers of winners is as follows: 088.48% 110.83% 20.66% 30.03% A modelling program that I have written, not very accurate right now, suggests the following jackpot evolution: $583,391,611.73$270,719,92826.78%0.47% $457,746,939.00$212,415,1
Aug 31, 2006, 1:20 am - Prob988 - Jackpot Games Forum