6 doubles in a row? What odds?Prev TopicNext Topic

• doodoohead

  

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  Apr 4, 2020, 8:35 pm

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   Never seen an elephant fly or 6 doubles in a row either. Ga Evening just had their 6th double in a row.
     

                                                             

      What are the odds of that 27% group hitting 6 times in a row?

            How about 7 in a row for tomorrow night's draw?  Think it's safe to play only singles then?

         Odds never change but probability does. So, what are the probabilities? 

   * If you can name it, you can find it, and if you can find it, you can track it, and if you can track it, you can beat it.

     
• grwurston

  

  100

  Same digits. Different games.

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  April 24, 2010
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  Apr 4, 2020, 11:32 pm

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  In response to doodoohead

  Quote: Originally posted by doodoohead on Apr 4, 2020

   Never seen an elephant fly or 6 doubles in a row either. Ga Evening just had their 6th double in a row.
     

                                                             

      What are the odds of that 27% group hitting 6 times in a row?

            How about 7 in a row for tomorrow night's draw?  Think it's safe to play only singles then?

         Odds never change but probability does. So, what are the probabilities? 

  Everyone was probably saying the same thing after the third or forth in a row.

  Ya gotta think like the lottery. They expect everyone is thinking, singles gotta hit after this, right? So they're gonna mess with y'all and do another double. Stick with the doubles, they're hot. 

  As someone here has in their signature. Play what's hot, not what's not.

  

  Before you play there are 2 choices to make. Low sum or high sum and consecutive pair or no consecutive pair. Choose correctly and you go from 120 combos down to 30. Not a bad starting point.
• rcbbuckeye

  

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  Apr 5, 2020, 9:29 am

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  Or, play a double, and play a 6-way.

  You might even see a triple fall.

  JUST LOOK AT THE ODDS OF ANY JACKPOT GAME, THAT WILL TELL YOU EVERYTHING YOU NEED TO KNOW
• winsumloosesum

  

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  Apr 5, 2020, 1:16 pm

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  Odds of a double appearing 1:4

  2 consecutive games 1:4 * 1:4 = 1/16

  6 consecutive games 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4

  4
  16
  64
  256
  1024
  4096

   

  Odds/Evens/High/Lows

  6 consecutive games 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8

  8
  32
  128
  512
  2048
  8192
• doodoohead

  

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  Apr 5, 2020, 8:52 pm

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  In response to winsumloosesum

  Quote: Originally posted by winsumloosesum on Apr 5, 2020

  Odds of a double appearing 1:4

  2 consecutive games 1:4 * 1:4 = 1/16

  6 consecutive games 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4 * 1:4

  4
  16
  64
  256
  1024
  4096

   

  Odds/Evens/High/Lows

  6 consecutive games 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8

  8
  32
  128
  512
  2048
  8192

  Thanks Steve. That's a good way to help us wrap our brains around this really rare pick-3 event. 

   This DOUBLES EVENT should pop up again every 11.22 YEARS. 

   

    Only 22.44 YEARS on the second example. 

  Odds/Evens/High/Lows

  6 consecutive games 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 * 1:8 

   

                            A lot more rare than we might think.

              Notice it couldn't pull off 7 draws like that in a row.  Tonight's 7th draw 321  Whew! That was close. Maybe.

              I've always been pretty confident playing Singles heavy after I see 3 doubles in a row. Normally, very safe bet.

   * If you can name it, you can find it, and if you can find it, you can track it, and if you can track it, you can beat it.

     
• pick4pro

  

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  Apr 9, 2020, 2:02 am

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• cottoneyedjoe

  

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  Apr 16, 2020, 4:27 pm

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  Six doubles in a row has a probability of (0.27)^6 = 0.00038742048, equivalent to ≈0.0387% or odds of about 1 in 2581.

  Here's the formula to work it out in general: If an event has a probability P (expressed as a decimal) then the probability that event happens N times in a row is P^N.